Correctly Identifying Market Trends is the Difference Between Winning and Losing
May 29th, 2009 |
Trends in the marketplace, which are ultimately traced back for the reasoning behind the trends, are difficult to coalesce, as once thing are recognized, it could have been a temporary fad which has already diminished, or identifying only part of what is a larger trend.
In our day of instant communication and media, it’s getting harder and harder to identify what a trend really is, as many people do things to attract attention that has nothing at all to do with a trend, but gets enough copycats to make it look like it’s bigger than it really is.
While this if fun for the perpetrator of the actions or event, we must be cautious as to whether or not it implies anything other than a small group of people just messing around attempting to get their moment of fame.
So when taking into account how trends affect the markets, we need to have at minimum a basic understanding of what is lasting and what is temporary.
All the great investors of our time, including those in completely different sectors like Peter Lynch, Warren Buffett and Jim Rogers, all looked for things that they could accurately project out over the years ahead. In other words, they were real trends and needs, and not attempted social engineering and media events attempting to make them appear that way.
Every one of these guys kept up with things, and continued to research regardless of what the media shouted out to them.
That’s the real underlying key to everything connected to market trends, the ability and wisdom to understand what’s a bunch of temporary hype, and what will truly go forward.
All the investors mentioned above always stuck or still stick with what they know will be needed years down the road, as well as has that protective moat around it which makes it difficult to compete.
That, after all, is the reason to research and follow market trends, so we can make informed decisions that will bring success over the long haul.
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